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Monday, February 3, 2020

Early entrance polls show Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders and Warren leading with Iowa caucusgoers

Two in five Iowa caucusgoers who described themselves as "very liberal" support Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, while around a quarter went for Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren. Fewer, around one in 10, support former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg.
Among moderate Democratic caucusgoers, a third support former Vice President Joe Biden. About a quarter said they back Buttigieg, and around one in 10 support either Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar or Sanders.
Overall, about two in five identified as somewhat liberal, a quarter as very liberal and a third as moderate.
A third of Democratic Iowa caucusgoers are over the age of 65, up from 28% in 2016 and 22% in 2008.
Around a third of them planned to support Biden while around one in five are supporting Buttigieg. One in 10 said they were for Warren.
Around one in five caucusgoers were ages 17 to 29, steady from past years. Half are supporting Sanders, significantly higher than any other candidate among young voters, with less than one in five for Buttigieg, one in 10 for Warren, and slightly less for businessman Andrew Yang.
Around a quarter of Democratic caucusgoers decided who to support in the last few days or today, according to the entrance polls, conducted Monday before caucuses began.
Over half of Democratic caucusgoers decided who to support before January, while fewer than one in five made up their minds during January.
Around two-thirds had attended an Iowa caucus before, with about a third of them first-timers, less than in 2016 (44% first time caucusgoers) and 2008 (57%).
Caucusgoers would prefer a nominee who can beat President Donald Trump (around two-thirds) than someone who agrees with them on the issues.
Two in five Iowa caucusgoers said health care was the issue that mattered the most in deciding who to support. Over half of caucusgoers support replacing private insurance with a government plan, while around two in five oppose.
About a quarter said climate change was the most important issue to them, followed by foreign policy and income inequality.
The Iowa caucuses are the first chance for voters to weigh in on the 2020 race.
The Democratic entrance poll estimates how much support a presidential candidate has at the start of the caucus process and will more closely reflect the first round of voting. It does not reflect the final caucus result, which is used to calculate the state delegate equivalents that a candidate is expected to win.
Entrance polls were conducted among Iowa caucus-goers as they entered precincts Monday night. Edison Research conducts the poll for the National Exit Pool, a consortium of news organizations.
This is a breaking story and will be updated.

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