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Monday, February 3, 2020

Chinese stocks plunged 8% as coronavirus fears took hold. It's the worst day in years

The Shanghai Composite (SHCOMP) plummeted 7.7% and the Shenzhen Component Index fell nearly 8.5% on their first day of trading after an extended Lunar New Year holiday. They had been closed since January 24.
The losses on each index have wiped out a combined $445 billion in market value.
The plunge delivered Shanghai its worst day since August 2015's "Black Monday," when global markets were rattled by China slowdown fears. Shenzhen, meanwhile, hasn't recorded a single-day percentage drop this bad since 2007.
China's currency also fell. The onshore yuan sank 1.6%, dropping below seven yuan to one US dollar in its first day back from the holiday break. The yuan also weakened below the seven mark offshore, where it moves more freely and has been trading since last week.
While global markets have had several days to weigh the rapid spread of the coronavirus, this is the first chance that mainland China has had to react in more than a week. Before the holiday, the number of cases numbered roughly 800 — now, there are more than 17,000.
Markets were originally scheduled to reopen last Friday, but the Chinese government extended the holiday as it worked to control the outbreak.

Pumping money into the market

Authorities knew Monday's shock was likely inevitable. The People's Bank of China said Sunday that it would inject $1.2 trillion yuan ($173 billion) into the Chinese markets using the purchase of short-term bonds to shore up banks' ability to lend money. The measure will help maintain "reasonably ample liquidity" in the banking system and keep currency markets stable, the bank said.
The net amount of liquidity being injected into the markets is much lower. According to Reuters calculations using central bank data, more than 1 trillion yuan worth of other short-term bond agreements will mature Monday. That brings the net amount of cash flooding into the markets down to 150 billion yuan ($22 billion).
The central bank will also keep in contact with financial institutions and markets to determine what other policy responses may be necessary, according to Pan Gongsheng, deputy governor of the central bank.
The coronavirus could cost China's economy $60 billion this quarter. Beijing will have to act fast to avert a bigger hit
Protecting China's financial markets and economy is a top priority for the government, which is also bracing for a potentially severe hit to first quarter economic growth. Some economists have said that China's growth rate could drop two percentage points this quarter — a decline that could mean $62 billion in lost growth.
Along with Monday's liquidity kick, top financial and economic regulators have announced dozens of other measures to stabilize China.
For example, the National Development and Reform Commission — the country's top economic planning agency — said Monday the government would "go to all lengths" to make sure that people have what they need to live, including food and other necessities. It also encouraged companies "that are key to control and prevent the virus" or are "of vital importance to the national economy" to resume production as soon as they can.
And the People's Bank of China said Saturday that it would provide money at low interest rates to commercial banks so that those banks could offer cheap loans to companies that make clinical masks, coronavirus testing kits and other types of medical supplies. The central government will also subsidize those special loans.
The country's stock exchange regulators have also said they would allow companies to delay 2019 annual reports and 2020 quarterly earnings reports if they are affected by the disruption.

Other markets react

Markets elsewhere in Asia were mostly lower Monday, too — though their losses were not nearly as dramatic as in China.
In Japan, where 20 cases of the virus have been confirmed, the Nikkei 225 (N225) fell 1%. In South Korea, which has 15 confirmed cases, the benchmark Kospi (KOSPI) closed down a fraction of a percent.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index (HSI), meanwhile, closed up 0.2% after moving between small gains and losses. The index lost more than 6% last week after investors returned from the Lunar New Year holiday. Unlike in mainland China, Hong Kong markets reopened last Wednesday.
In the United States, stock futures were actually higher overnight. Dow (INDU), S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite (COMP) futures were all roughly 0.5% to 0.8% higher during Asian trading hours.
US markets haven't been immune from fears over the coronavirus, though. Last Friday, the Dow fell 600 points, capping a turbulent week for stocks.

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